Mar 142013
 

hi-res-148483626_crop_exact

 

     The Brewers were just hoping to start the 2012 season, after most of the offseason was spent talking about whether or not the face of their franchise used performance enhancers.

     Ryan Braun is one of the top three choices in fantasy baseball, but owners have become more skeptical as his name continues to show up on PED lists.

     Milwaukee was also attempting to make another run atop the NL Central in 2012.

     They added some speed to their offense with outfielders Carlos Gomez and Norichika Aoki, who both had productive seasons.

     Injuries and a slow start kept the Brewers from being a dominant force early, but they picked it up towards the second half of the season.

     Second baseman Rickie Weeks was coming off one of his best seasons in 2011, only to be one of the most dropped players in the first half of 2012.

     Weeks ultimately was a key contributor for many fantasy owners during their playoff run as he hit around .400 to wrap up the season.

     You’d never know, looking at his stats, that he had an off-year.

     Injuries will factor in once again with the Brewers, as first baseman Corey Hart will be out until early May with a knee injury.

     Milwaukee is looking at various solutions to substitute for Hart’s production until he returns.

     They’ve look at moving shortstop Alex Gonzalez over to first base and playing rookie Jean Segura in his spot, or calling up rising minor league star Hunter Morris.

     Morris has the ability to hit around 30 home runs, while Segura is more of a base stealing threat.

     The pitching staff will also be in question going into this season.

     Zack Greinke put on a masterful season as always, but he went for the bigger pay day this offseason.

     Despite having social anxiety issues, Greinke decided to go to a larger market in LA.

     The Brewers now have to find a replacement for Greinke this spring.

     They could call upon their top pitching prospect in Wily Peralta, but he’s not ready to take over for Greinke’s production.

     Yovani Gallardo will once again be the ace of the staff, showcasing consistency over the years.

     The biggest question mark for the Brewers that hurt them early in 2012, was with the closer role.

     John Axford came into 2012 as one of the best closers in the game, but was one of the biggest risks to own in fantasy baseball.

     Milwaukee has brought him back as their full time closer, in hopes that he can turn it around.

     If Axford can return to his 2011 form, the Brewers will be right back up among the best in the NL Central.

     They need Axford to find stability, Braun to stay out of the media, and their young pitching staff to step up if they’re going to return to their dominance this season.

     Let’s take a look at whether the Brewers have what it takes to dominate the NL Central…

BREWERS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. Norichika Aoki RF You’re not drafting him to lead your team in home runs, but he will steal you 30 bases, score 80 runs, and generate a fare share of rbi’s. If Rickie Weeks plays better this season, Aoki will be the main benefactor. He’s a great late round outfielder option.

2. Rickie Weeks 2B He was one of the best 2B options in the second half of 2012, but his first half was horrible. His .230 AVG was his lowest in 4 years. He was able to hit 20+ home runs for the 3rd straight season, and steal double digit bases. He should be viewed as a top 10 2B on draft day. 

3. Ryan Braun LF He just might be the best player in fantasy to own. There are a lot of debates on whether it will be him or Mike Trout, but at least Braun is consistent. He contributes in every category, you just have to hope that he doesn’t get in trouble with another PED issue.

4. Aramis Ramirez 3B He hit 25+ home runs for the 3rd straight season, back-to-back seasons of a .300 AVG, and had highs in runs and rbi’sl, all in his first season with the Brewers. Fantasy owners are waiting for him to decline, but until that happens, he ‘s a great value pick in the middle rounds of drafts. 

5. Jonathan Lucroy C Injuries ruined his 2012 season, but what has to impress you is the fact that he was able to compile the same stats in 2012, in 40 less games, as he had in 2011 (46/12/58). He also hit .320 during that span. Lucroy isn’t being drafted until the final rounds, but he’s a solid option that you need to consider if you can’t get an elite catcher.

6. Carlos Gomez CF He absolutely exploded in 2012, but having career highs with 72 runs, 19 home runs, 51 rbi’s, and 37 stolen bases for the first time since 2008. He did have a career high .260 AVG, but that is the only thing that is keep Gomez from being a reliable option to draft. Gomez is ranked way down on draft boards, because he’s not a household name just yet, which is why you should wait until considering him for your no.3 OF spot.

7. Alex Gonzalez 1B Injuries ruined his first season with the Brew crew, but he’s nothing impressive to begin with. By season’s end, Gonzalez could be fizzled out of the lineup once Hart returns and Segura progresses. 

8. Jean Segura SS He was the prize of the Greinke trade with the Angels, he doesn’t hit home runs, but he does steal a lot of bases. It’s all speed or nothing with Segura, which is why he shouldn’t be on your fantasy radar.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. Yovani Gallardo Four straight seasons of 200+ strikeouts and 14+ wins, to go along with an ERA in the 3′s, what more would you want? Whether you think he’s elite or not, you need to get Gallardo at the bargain that he comes at every season in fantasy drafts. 

2. Marco Estrada He carries a high ERA and doesn’t have impressive strikeout numbers, look elsewhere.

3. Mike Fiers He’s a pitcher that’s on the rise in fantasy talks. He was one of the most reliable fantasy pitchers once he was called up last season and will look to build upon his success that he had in the second half of the season. He’s going in the final rounds of drafts and should be viewed as a steal in any format.

4. Chris Narveson High ERA + low strikeout ratio=wasted thought on draft day

5. Wily Peralta He’s the Brewers top pitching prospect that bring a high strikeout ratio, a disciplined approach, durability  and low ERA. He appeared in six games last season and could make the starting rotation out of spring camp. He will likely go through some growing pains early in the season, but he’ll be the Brewers’ 3rd best starter this season.

RP-John Axford He had a career-high in strikeouts, but he also had a career-high ERA. Axford blew more saves than his owners could handle. He’s coming into this season with a low draft status, which sets him up for a buy-low option with some upside to bounce back. 

FANTASY X-FACTORS

i (19)Mike Fiers was one of the most valuable waiver claims last fantasy season, and is set to be one of the biggest steals in drafts this year. He averaged around 6 strikeouts per outing, he kept a decent ERA, and he proved late in the season to have the durability to pitch deep into games. Fiers will end up being the second best pitcher on the staff. He’s slated to pitch third in the rotation, so owners need to capitalize on his value now before he moves up. Fiers is ranked in the final rounds of this year’s drafts, so make sure that you get him when you’re hunting for late value.

7051724 Hunter Morris is one of the Brewers top prospects. He’s the reigning Southern League MVP, primarily because of his bat. He only has a short window to make an impression, with Corey Hart being out until May, but Morris could be one of those second half fantasy studs if he’s sent back to the minors. He’s a .300+ hitter that can get around 25+ home runs. Morris always seems to get off to a slow start, but can’t be stopped once he finds his groove. Milwaukee has to make a decision on what they want to do in Corey Hart’s absence. They’re either going to call up Morris to play for about a month on a trial basis, or they’re going to move Alex Gonzalez to first on a temporary basis. It’s an interesting situation in Brewers camp to keep an eye on. If Morris is given a trial run, he’s nothing more than a utility option with a lot of upside. If Gonzalez does end up playing first base, the Morris could be a July call-up. Remember his name regardless.

 Posted by at 8:17 am
Mar 132013
 

aroldis-chapman1

 

     The reigning NL Central champs are doing whatever it takes to revamp their approach for 2013.

     Their swift postseason exit led them to seek out trade options that could spark their offense.

     Cincinnati made a three team trade with Cleveland and Arizona to bolster their outfield.

     They shipped shortstop prospect Didi Gregorious to Arizona and Outfielder Drew Stubbs to Cleveland, in exchange for Indians Outfielder Shin-Soo-Choo.

     The Indians would also acquire Diamondbacks top pitching prospect Trevor Bauer in the deal.

     Choo will be an immediate upgrade in center field for the Reds, along with being their everday leadoff hitter.

     The biggest story to watch for in Reds camp this spring is the transition of Aroldis Chapman.

     He was one of the more dominant fantasy closers last season, but will try his luck at being a starter in 2013.

     There’s no question that Chapman can gun it, but he doesn’t have an arsenal of pitches.

     He’ll start off at the back end of the rotation, with hopes of moving up the order down the road.

     Cincinnati has one of the finalists for last season’s NL Rookie of the Year in Todd Frazier, they have an annual contender for MVP in Joey Votto, and have upgraded their offense significantly.

     There’s still a lot of questions with their rotation, particularly with Bronson Arroyo and Homer Bailey, but their offense should be able to carry them.

     The NL Central is no joke this season, which is why the Reds need to be firing on all cylinders in order to stay atop the competition.

     They always seem to have issues with getting off to a slow start, but their offseason changes could fix that.

     Let’s see if the reigning NL Central champs have done enough to go further in the playoffs…

REDS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. Shin-Soo Choo CF Bounced back pretty well after an injury ruined his 2011 season. He’s a .280-.300 hitter that can get you 20+ home runs and stolen bases, and could see a boost by being the leadoff hitter for the Reds.

2. Brandon Phillips 2B His stolen bases totals have dropped over the past few seasons, but he remains a solid 2B option that can still be a solid .280+ hitter, hit 18 home runs, and rack up around 80+ runs/rbi’s. He should be viewed as a top 5 2B option.

3. Joey Votto 1B He’s only hit under .300 once in his 6-year career. Despite being injured last season, Votto will still hit you 25+ home runs, and produce 100+ runs/rbi’s. He’s playing in the WBC this spring and could be viewed as the best 1B option on draft day.

4. Ryan Ludwick LF He hit 26 home runs in his first season with the Reds, which made him a decent waiver wire claim in mid-season, but hasn’t done anything in his career that makes him an annual watchlist candidate. 

5. Jay Bruce RF His average has been dismal the past two seasons, ranking around in the .250s, but the fact that he produced back-to-back seasons of 30+ home runs makes him a solid no.2 outfielder option to draft. His average will keep him down draft rankings, but you shouldn’t overlook him. He’s a great value pick in the middle rounds.

6. Todd Frazier 3B He was a top 3 finalist for the NL ROY in ’12, he hit 19 homers, and carried a decent .273 average. He will have questions of proving consistency this year, but could be a sleeper because he’s not a household name in fantasy just yet. 

7. Zack Cozart SS He was dropped down the lineup because of his .246 batting average,despite hitting 15 home runs in his rookie season. If he can begin to hit for average, Cozart could be a sleeper at the thin shortstop position. Look for him late in drafts when you need to fill your shortstop spot.

8. Ryan Hanigan C They eventually want to have Devin Mesoraco behind the plate, but that will be a little while until he improves his swing. Hanigan doesn’t offer any eye-popping stats that would make you want to consider him for your team.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. Johnny Cueto He’s coming off of his best season yet at 19-9. He’s always been an elite option to have, but Cueto could start to be viewed as a top 10 pitcher in fantasy. He did strikeout a career high 170 batters in 2012, and that is the one department that he will really have to show consistency with this season.

2. Mat Latos He is coming off of his best season at 14-4, showed consistency with 180+ strikeouts, and produced his typical ERA in the 3+ range. Latos gets a bad rep for his 2011 season, after breaking out in 2010, but any fantasy owner has to value consistency in the strikeout range and definitely having a better run support with Cincy.

3. Bronson Arroyo He’ll get you a double digit/above .500 record, but he doesn’t strikeout a lot of pitchers. Arroyo is nothing more than a post-draft pickup substitute that you use to transition in between injuries.

4. Homer Bailey He had his first double digit win season, his career low in ERA, and career high in strikeouts. The only problem is that none of those stats were impressive at 13-10, a 3.68 ERA, and 168 strikeouts. Bailey could be starting to just get it, in his sixth season, but 

5. Aroldis Chapman He’s not a sure thing to make the rotation, but will still be a must-own in fantasy this season despite his position. Keep in mind that Chapman might not play the full season as a starter, even if he makes the rotation out of spring camp.

RP-Jonathan Broxton Will lose tremendous value if Chapman doesn’t make the rotation, so his fantasy value all depends on Chapman’s fate and how long he stays there.

FANTASY X-FACTORS

i (17)Aroldis Chapman can throw around 100 mph and will look to transition out of the bullpen this season. He’s battling Mike Leake for the number five spot in the starting rotation this spring, but nothing is guaranteed. Regardless of what position he plays, Chapman is going to be a must-own this fantasy season. He converted 38 saves last season as the Reds closer, striking out 122 batters, and proving that he could be ready to be a full time starter. The only thing that holds him back is the fact that he doesn’t have a very developed arsenal of pitches. Not that he needs anything else than his 100 mph fastball, but veteran hitters will either figure out how attack him or he might burn out from throwing so much at that velocity. Chapman is slated towards the middle to late rounds of drafts, but you shouldn’t let him slip past you in the draft.

i (18)Shin-Soo Choo was one of the key players involved in the three team trade with the Indians, Reds, and Diamondbacks. You’re not going to find a more consistent player to own in fantasy, but he could get even better with his new team. He’s a .280+ hitter, he can get around 80+ runs/rbi’s, along with 20+ stolen bases/home runs. Choo will be the leadoff hitter for the Reds this season. He’s surrounded by some of the best bats with Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto right behind him, he has the speed to do a lot of damage once he gets on base, and could be one of the best value picks in this season’s drafts. When you’re looking for some mid round value that offers a ton of upside, consider Choo.

 Posted by at 5:23 pm
Mar 122013
 

com_130212_Anthony_Rizzo

 

     It’s the second year of the Theo Epstein era in Chicago, with many believing in the product.

     Epstein came in with a splash and virtually overhauled the roster, but couldn’t get rid of Alphonso Soriano.

     It could happen this season, at least that’s what the Cubs are hoping.

     Chicago has a good sense of continuity going into the 2013 season, with Anthony Rizzo and Jeff Samardzija leading the way.

     Rizzo was an overlooked acquisition from the Padres during the previous offseason, but he was a key component to Esptein’s plans dating back to their days with the Red Sox system.

     He underachieved in San Diego, making him an expendable trading piece after they chose to invest in Yonder Alonso.

     Rizzo appeared in 87 games last season, after being called up, and showcased a lot of game-changing power for the Cubs.

     If they’re going to make any noise this season, Chicgao will need Rizzo to continue to be a force in the lineup.

     Jeff Samardzija made the full transition out of the bullpen, to eventually being the ace of the staff.

     Esptein was so impressed with his development, that he made Samardzija the only player that wasn’t available during the July trade deadline.

     He was looking to overhaul the roster once again, even if that meant shipping out Shortstop Starlin Castro.

     Samardzija will enter the 2013 season as the ace of the staff, not necessarily by default, but primarily due to Matt Garza being out at least a month with injury.

     Epstein looked to sure up the pitching staff once again this offseason by bringing in journeyman pitcher Edwin Jackson and Japanese closer Kyuji Fujikawa.

     Jackson has been the victim of instability throughout his MLB career, not because of his talent, but because his potential has offered intriuging trade value.

     He’s been with the Dodgers, Rays, Tigers, Diamondbacks, White Sox, Cardinals, Nationals, and now the Cubs.

     That’s eight teams in his ten year career.

     Jackson is hoping that the Cubs will be a stable home for more than just half a season, for the first time in five years.

     Fujikawa was one of the most dominant arms in the Japanese professional league, appearing in the World Baseball Classic and Beijing Olympics.

     He’s converted over 200 saves and sports a 1.36 ERA in the past six seasons, but isn’t expected to be the Opening Day closer.

     Carlos Marmol has been the victim of trade rumors, with every outing that Fujikawa has pitched, and teams like Detroit needing a veteran at the position.

     The Cubs are gradually stabilizing their roster and adding key components that can develop together over the years.

     In the second season of the Theo Esptein era, Chicago is set to be a little more competitive than just the rebuilding unit that they were last season.

     Let’s take a look at what the Cubs have to offer this fantasy season…

CUBS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. David DeJesus CF The Cubs are wanting Brett Jackson to take over eventually, so DeJesus could be on the expendable block sooner rather than later, don’t invest.

2. Starlin Castro SS He was expendable last trade deadline, but he’s worth investing in on draft day since short stop is such a thin season. He has battled hamstring issues this spring, but he’s a solid contributor in every category.

3. Anthony Rizzo 1B He was a .285 hitter, with 15 home runs, in just 87 games last season. He’s rated very low in drafts this season, which could provide great value when you’re looking for a solid 1B option.

4. Alphonso Soriano LF No matter how old he gets, he still puts up respectable numbers. You can’t argue with the fact that he hit 32 home runs last season, but his .262 batting average is less impressive. He’s a post draft pickup that could be your third or fourth outfielder.

5. Nate Schierholtz RF He’s never offered any decent value, so don’t bother considering him.

6. Ian Stewart 3B When was the last time you thought he had anything to offer…

7. Welington Castillo C He steps up primarily because Soto was shipped to Texas, don’t bother considering him

8. Darwin Barney 2B He’s an exciting defensive player to watch, but his offense doesn’t make a case for him to be a must-own in fantasy. Even with a thin 2B pool, Barney isn’t someone that you want to draft.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. Jeff Samardzija He was below .500 in his first full season as a starter, but did strikeout 180 batters. He should be much improved going into his second full season, but might even out more since he’ll have to be the ace of the staff until Garza gets back.

2. Edwin Jackson He was a hot pickup for about two weeks last fantasy season, then he became the Edwin Jackson we all know. He hasn’t had any type of stability in his career, but that’s not a reason to believe that he’ll be rejuvenated with a downgrade as far as run support.  

3. Scott Feldman He doesn’t strikeout a lot of people, he has an ERA that ranges between 4 and 5+, and the Cubs don’t offer consistent run support. Don’t bother considering him.

4. Travis Wood He’s never had an ERA under 4+ since he’s been a starter, so why would you want to believe in him, even at the most desperate times?

5. Scott Baker He’s an interesting part of this rotation, as he’s proven to be a decent starter, but always carries a high ERA. Health issues have also kept Baker from being a reliable option, so keep him on your post-draft watchlist if anything.

RP- Kyuji Fujikawa Word on the street is Marmol will be traded before Opening Day, because Fujikawa is just that impressive this spring. He produces a lot of strikeouts and maintains an ERA under 2, so what more would you want?

FANTASY X-FACTORS

i (16)Brett Jackson is a key piece to Epstein’s long term vision for the Cubs. He’s a 20-20 type of player that has been working on his hitting this offseason. Jackson was brought up for 44 games last season, and didn’t do anything to impress fantasy owners or Cubs fans. He hit .175, with 4 home runs, and no stolen bases. Jackson is the fourth best prospect in the Cubs system, but will get a longer look this season. Epstein has already stated that Jackson will start this season in the minors, but you can expect him to get a call up around in June. You don’t need to draft him, but he definitely needs to be on your post-draft watchlist, as he’s set to be much improved this season.

Kyuji+Fujikawa+Chicago+Cubs+Photo+Day+N1kWoSuf9FRl Kyuji Fujikawa was brought in to fix the Cubs’ late inning woes from last season. He was one of the most dominant closers in the Japan professional league. The 32-year-old veteran is making a case this spring to be the Opening Day closer, which just might happen. He’s currently slated to be the setup man for Carlos Marmol, but that will change once a predicted trade occurs. It’s no secret that Marmol is not an overwhelming, nor reliable, option for the Cubs. Epstein has been trying to find a replacement option for a while, and that’s where Fujikawa comes into play. There are reports that Marmol will be traded before Opening Day, but if that doesn’t happen, Fujikawa should still be drafted in your league. It will only be a matter of time, either through a trade or poor performance by Marmol, before Fujikawa will be the closer in Chicago this season.

 Posted by at 6:29 am