Mar 232013
 

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     It might be unfair to say that the Twins are a minor league All Star team, but they’re pretty close to it.

     They come into this season with a lot of next faces in the field and on the mound.

     Not to discredit the Joe Mauers and Justin Morneaus of the world, but Minnesota is undoubtably in rebuilding mode.

     The club brought in some veteran arms this offseason, in Vance Worley and Kevin Correia, to go along with some of their upcoming contributors.

     Scott Diamond had one of the more impressive seasons in 2012, showing flashes of his upside.

     Unfortunately, he’ll start the season on the DL.

     The most important newcomer is closer Glen Perkins.

     Minnesota has been utilizing a closer-by-committee mindset lately, primarily due to injuries and poor play.

     Matt Capps seemed to be the answer during Joe Nathan’s absence, but the team decided that it was time to invest in another direction.

     Perkins is a seven-year veteran that has been primarily used out of the bullpen, with one instance as a starter in 2008.

     He actually went 12-4 that season, but had a 4.41 ERA.

     Since then, Perkins has battled with his ERA, fluctuating between a 2.40+ and 5+ ranges.

     He had 16 saves as a part time contributor last year, sporting a respectable 2.56 ERA.

     If Perkins is going to be the answer in Minnesota, the Twins will need him to perform at that same level this season.

     The Twins have also needed an upgrade in their lineup.

     They let both of their centerfielders, Ben Revere and Denard Span, walk this offseason.

     It was a head-scratcher at the time, but they just continue to produce quality outfielders.

     Aaron Hicks and Chris Parmelee will be the two players to watch this season.

     Hicks recently won the job over utility-man Darin Mastroianni in Spring camp, and will look to be a solid contributor in his first major league season.

     Parmelee is a natural first baseman that Rod Gardenhire just wants to get in the lineup because of his potential.

     Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer don’t appear to be going anywhere, unless it’s by trade, so Parmelee will be slated in right field for the meantime.

     The Twins have quality players in their lineup, but they have a bandaid staff.

     They’re not going to be an automatic victory on anyone’s schedule, but they’re not going to be contending for a divisional title during this transition season.

     The main questions that will determine the success of this team are : can Glen Perkins be an effective full-time closer, can their staff keep them in games, and can these new players be productive throughout the season.

     Let’s take a look at who could make an impact on your fantasy team this season…

TWINS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. Aaron Hicks CF Rookie that brings a lot of speed to the table. He’s a .280-type of hitter that can get you around 15+ home runs and 60+runs/rbi’s.

2. Jamey Carroll 2B When in his 11 seasons has he ever been worth a look in fantasy? Keep looking.

3. Joe Mauer C He hasn’t had the power that he had in his MVP ’09 season. The Team has tried to trade him, but his contract is too big. The reason why he remains so valuable is the fact that he plays as much 1B as he does C, which translates to more at bats/points for you. He’s still a top 10 catcher.

4. Josh Willingham LF Great source of home runs, but that’s about it. His batting average rates somewhere around .260, but he’ll get you 25+ home runs. He’s coming off of a career-high season, so expect him to level out from hitting 35 homers in 2012.

5. Justin Morneau 1B He’s not longer elite. His average had dropped to around .270 nowadays, and can barely get to 20 home runs anymore. He’s nothing more than a late or post-draft option at 1B.

6. Ryan Doumit DH His catcher eligibility keeps him in fantasy conversations. He’s the Twins’ ultimate utility player, which offers many opportunities to play everyday. He can hit home runs, but doesn’t hit for average. He’s a late round option.

7. Chris Parmelee RF He’s not a rookie anymore, but he’s not a big name yet either. He’s not going to steal bases, but he’ll contribute elsewhere. A solid balanced player that’ll be worth a look in post-draft pickups. 

8. Trevor Plouffe 3B Exploded onto the fantasy scene last year as a home run threat, but quickly crashed and burned. He’s a .230 hitter that does bring a lot of power, if you can deal with how many times he’ll strikeout. He’s not a must-own by any means, but he can be a sneaky power contributor that you can get late.

9. Brian Dozier SS Another .230 hitter that doesn’t bring an overwhelming source of contribution to the table. Wait for him to develop before thinking about investing in him.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. Vance Worley Had a horrible year, after breaking out in 2011. He was successful as a mid-rotation starter in Philly, so the pressure of being an ace could further affect his production. The only reason you invest in him is if you’re in a large league and you’re desperate for pitchers late in your draft. 

2. Kevin Correia He performed miracles at times in Pittsburgh, but not as a number two starter. Keep looking elsewhere.

3. Mike Pelfrey Never did anything impressive with the Mets, so why would a new environment spark his career? Don’t bother.

4. Liam Hendriks He appeared in 16 games last season and got shelled. He takes a lot of risks with his approach, but being overly aggressive, which leads to his 5+ ERA. Don’t invest.

5. Brian Duensing He’s a 5+ ERA type of pitcher that is just keeping the seat warm until Scott Diamond returns from the DL.

RP-Glen Perkins He was a decent part-time option as a closer last season, keeps his ERA under 3, and can get a strikeout here and there. Could get a lot of opportunities because the team should be in a lot of close games, but he’s not someone that you need to go after immediately if closers start flying off the draft board.

FANTASY X-FACTORS

MLB: Minnesota Twins-Photo DayAaron Hicks just might be the lone bright spot for the Twins this season. He has officially won the centerfielder job in Spring camp and will look to hold down that position for a long time. Hicks brings a lot of speed to the table and can hit around 15 or more home runs. He’s more of a player that’ll hit for average than power, but he’ll be a balanced contributor. It’s not official on whether or not he’ll be the everyday leadoff hitter, but he has the tools to assume the role. His fantasy value will increase if he wins that role, otherwise he’s a decent option as your third outfielder while he goes through some growing pains.

iIf you’re going to invest in a Twins pitcher, it’ll be Scott Diamond. He’s going to start the season on the 15-day DL, but you can still pick him up once he’s healthy. He appeared in 27 games last year for Minnesota, producing a decent 12-9 record in his first full season of action.His 3.54 ERA was the best on the team, and will likely be again this year. Diamond will be towards the bottom of the rotation when he returns, which sets up for favorable pitching matchups. He’s working on increasing his strikeout totals, he’s very durable, and he can go deep into games. When you need some help later in the season, consider the upside of Scott Diamond.

 Posted by at 1:27 pm
Mar 222013
 

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     The Kansas City Royals are known for having one of the best farm systems in baseball, but there’s just one problem…they never keep anyone!

     It was the same story this offseason when they traded away their top prospect, outfielder Wil Myers, to the Tampa Bay Rays in hopes of getting something that will put them over the top.

     Myers was not only the top prospect in the Royals’ system, he was one of the top five prospects in all of baseball.

     There’s no secret that the Royals pitching staff hasn’t been very threatening since Zack Greinke won the Cy Young, so it was time for an upgrade.

     They brought in free agents Jeremy Guthrie and Ervin Santana, but that wasn’t good enough.

     The Myers trade with Tampa brought in James Shields and Wade Davis.

     Shields has been one of the best fantasy pitchers in the past two seasons, but was never the ace of their staff.

     Davis was nothing more than a throw-in piece that will be an upgrade for the Royals just because their other options are just that bad.

     Shields is set to start Opening Day for the club, hoping to set a new standard in Kansas City.

     The next issue that they had to fix is in their bullpen.

     Joakim Soria battled injuries in 2012 and new closer Greg Holland isnt the most impressive option.

     Does this sound like they’ve upgrade their team?

     Yes and No.

     It was going to be difficult for Myers to crack the lineup with an outfield that consists of Alex Gordon, Lorenzo Cain, and Jeff Francoeur.

     Gordon has been one of the most improved players in the league the past two seasons, Cain is a rising star in his own right, and Francoeur is a favorite by management.

      So by trading Myers, they upgrade their pitching in the short term.

     In the long run, this will be looked at as a lopsided trade.

     Kansas City has a lot of young and promising talent, but it’s taken a while for them to develop.

     People are waiting for Eric Hosmer to be that next great first baseman, Mike Moustakas stepped up at times last season, and Salvador Perez hasn’t been healthy enough to make an impact.

     If those three key players can step up their game, with a combination of some quality pitching, then the Royals might be able to make some noise in the AL Central.

     Let’s take a look at the players that could impact your fantasy team this season…

ROYALS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. Alex Gordon LF Numbers took a slight drop off, but is still a quality .290 hitter, can get 70+ runs/rbi’s, and will hit double digit home runs. He’s not an elite OF, but he’s a decent option to add on late.

2. Alcides Escobar SS He’s not going to hit for power, but can steal 30+ bases, hit around .290, and can get 50+ runs/rbi’s. He’s not ready to be a household name, but he’s a sneaky one in the speed department.

3. Eric Hosmer 1B He had a horrible season in his first full year as a starter. His potential keeps his name up the draft boards. He’ll be looking for a bounce back campaign after mustering a .230 AVG and declining in the power department. He’s a lot better than his 2012 numbers, so take advantage of his draft position.

4. Billy Butler DH He’s not a sexy draft choice, but the guy is the best batter on this team. He’s one of the top 1B options to own, but his value gets knocked because of his DH role. He’s coming off one of his best seasons with career highs in every category. He’s a .300 hitter that’ll get you 25+ home runs. Draft him as an elite utility player.

5. Salvador Perez C He’s one of the top 5 sleepers this season and can hit for average/power. The only knock against Perez is the fact that he’s had a couple of injuries to mess up his career thus far, but he’s ready to go now. He’s ranked way lower than he’ll perform this year. By the end of the season, he could be one of the best, if not THE best catcher in the league.

6. Mike Moustakas 3B He stepped up his game at times last season. If it wasn’t for his .240 batting average, you’d think his other numbers translated to a decent season. Like Hosmer, Moustakas has a lot of upside that’ll keep his name up on draft boards, but don’t think he’s about to be the next Adrian Beltre. Draft him late as your no.2 third baseman option.

7. Jeff Francoeur RF The only reason that he’s on the team is because he’s a favorite by management. Two seasons ago, he actually finished as a top 12 fantasy outfielder, but drastically declined in 2012. Don’t bother investing in him.

8. Lorenzo Cain CF He’s a rising star that has just run into some injuries here and there. He can contribute in every category, he’ll be a better hitter in his third major league season, and could be a steal in post-draft pickups.

9. Chris Getz 2B He isn’t going to bring a lot of power to the table, but can steal 20+ bases. Second base is a tough position to lock down, but Getz isn’t your sleeper to get you over the top. Look elsewhere.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. James Shields He’s struck out 220+ batters the past two seasons, kept a decent ERA, and produced at least 15 wins. He’s not exactly ace material, but is still someone that you don’t want to pass up. He could see an increase in production, now that he’s moved out of the AL East, but the Royals won’t give him the run support he needs. 

2. Jeremy Guthrie You’re not seriously considering owning him are you? A change of scenery isn’t changing anything about what he doesn’t bring to the table as a fantasy pitcher. Keep looking. 

3. Ervin Santana He’s been on the decline the past two seasons, but could put up decent numbers in KC. He has a rollercoaster pattern when it comes to his production. One week he could pitch like a fantasy stud with a lot of strikeouts and a low ERA, then next week he gets ran out of town by the second inning. He’s used to being further down the order, so being the third pitcher could affect his production.  

4. Wade Davis He was productive coming out of the bullpen last season, but that doesn’t always translate to being a great starter. In prior seasons as a starter, his era was way too high and his strikeout totals were pedestrian. Don’t bother investing in him.

5. Bruce Chen He’s in a battle with Luis Mendoza for the final rotation spot. He was actually the best pitcher for the Royals in the past, but Mendoza is on the rise. Don’t invest in him regardless. 

RP-Greg Holland He was decent in his fill-in role as a closer last season, but nothing overly impressive. If you’re hurting for saves later in the season, he could be a post-draft watchlist candidate. 

FANTASY X-FACTORS

i (24)Salvador Perez is one of the biggest sleepers this season. The only reason that he’s ranked so low in pre-draft rankings is because injuries have prevented him from playing the past two seasons. In the time that he has played, he’s been a consistent .300+ hitter. He can hit for average and power, he hits in a solid lineup spot, and will have one of the best seasons for a fantasy catcher in a while. We know about Buster Posey’s 2012 season, but that won’t happen again. Perez is a draft day steal because he’s being taken in rounds 10 and beyond. By the end of this season, Perez will be one of the top 3 fantasy catchers, could hit 20+ home runs, and will still sport that .300 average.

i (25)Lorenzo Cain has been hindered by injuries in his first two major league seasons. He can contribute in every category and is slated way lower in his pre-draft rankings than his upside deserves. If he has a healthy season, Cain could hit around .290, steal around 20 bases, generate 60+ runs/rbi’s, and hit around 15+ home runs. He’s good enough to eventually be the Royals’ leadoff hitter, but will be further down the lineup until Gordon slacks off. Cain is a no.3 OF option to draft for right now, but his batting order spot will depict his potential for a breakout season this year.

 Posted by at 4:37 pm
Mar 222013
 

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     A triple crown winner and a Cy Young candidate were not enough to get the Detroit Tigers even one win in the World Series against the Giants.

     Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera were two of the hottest players in the league last year, showing no signs of slowing down.

     They’ve been the faces of the franchise for a number of years, but even the addition of Prince Fielder wasn’t enough in the postseason.

     Cabrera became the first triple crown winner since 1967 when Carl Yastzremski won it for the Red Sox.

     Tigers skipper Jim Leyland has looked at the 2012 season for about five minutes and decided that it was time to add more weapons to beef up the lineup.

     They have great continuity, as far as key components in the infield, but they needed to drastically improve their outfield.

     Detroit brought in former Angels outfielder Torii Hunter and could have an emerging star in their top prospect Nick Castellanos.

     They’re going to get back a key bat in Catcher/DH Victor Martinez, to replace a slumping Alex Avila.

     The lineup should be much rejuvenated, but the biggest question could come from the bullpen.

     The Tigers allowed Jose Valverde to walk this offseason and are hoping that prospect Bruce Rondon will be a viable replacement.

     Rondon hasn’t had a very good spring, which is why they could be in the market for a closer.

     Detroit has been rumored to take a look at former Giants closer Brian Wilson, but he’s still recovering from a season-ending surgery in 2012.

     If the Tigers can establish chemistry with some of their new pieces and solidify the closer role, there’s no reason why Detroit shouldn’t be one of the more dangerous teams in the league.

     Let’s see if they have what it takes to get the job done this season…

TIGERS PROJECTED LINEUP

1. Austin Jackson CF All of his numbers were up in ’12, except with his base stealing. Jackson continues to work towards being a more well-rounded player and he is slowly becoming a viable fantasy OF, but he’s still a late option.

2. Torii Hunter RF Hits for a great average, doesn’t steal a lot of bases anymore, 90+ runs/rbi’s, but needs to get his home run totals back up. He’s a great option for your OF spots late if you’re scrounging at the end of your draft.

3. Miguel Cabrera 3B The guy won the triple crown last year, is there any reason he shouldn’t be one of the top 5 players off the board?

4. Prince Fielder 1B He’s a home run hitting machine, he hits for a great average, and should be gone by the mid 2nd round.

5. Victor Martinez DH You’re not sure how to view V-Mart in his return this season. He’s one of the best catchers to own because of the power he brings, but it might take him a while to warm up. He’s a .300 hitter that can get 20+ home runs, so what’s not to like. 

6. Andy Dirks LF His job isn’t safe, as the Tigers are waiting for prospect Nick Castellanos to be ready by June. Don’t bother in investing in him.

7. Jhonny Peralta SS His numbers are down for batting average, runs, rbi’s, and home runs. He’s nothing more than a mid-season desperation waiver wire claim. 

8. Alex Avila C Battled injuries throughout the 2012 season. He could be a sleeper option this year, but one that you’ll want to wait and claim in waivers after your draft. The catcher position is so deep that Avila is no longer elite.

9. Omar Infante 2B He was one of the hottest bats out of the gate last season, but slowed down to his typical numbers with a .270 AVG and  50+ runs/rbi’s. He did have a career high in stolen bases with 17 and his highest HR total in 7 seasons with 12. Infante is nothing more than a second tier 2B option.

PROJECTED ROTATION

1. Justin Verlander He’s one of the best pitchers to own in fantasy, do you really need convincing to draft him?

2. Doug Fister He shows flashes of brilliance at times,but took a step back from his stellar second half in 2011. He can strikeout a lot of batters, he’s durable, and consistent. Look for him in the later rounds.  

3. Max Scherzer Had career highs in just about every category since being a full time starter. He had a career-high 231 strikeouts last season and will look to get close to that number against this year. If he can continue to sport a 3+ ERA, with those strikeout totals, then Scherzer could be one of the best late round draft choices. 

4. Anibal Sanchez He doesn’t produce a lot of strikeouts, his ERA is near a 4, and he’s only registered double digit wins twice in his seven year career. Look elsewhere.

5. Rick Porcello  Detroit’s been trying to trade him, so you might not want to invest in Porcello. His strikeout totals and ERA are pedestrian anyways. Don’t bother considering him. 

RP-Bruce Rondon He’s on a short leash this season, you can invest in him on draft day, but just keep in mind that he could be replaced if he doesn’t pan out instantly.

FANTASY X-FACTORS

20120228_ajw_ss1_054_extra_large_mediumNick Castellanos is one of the top prospects in Detroit’s minor league system. He’s naturally a third baseman, but there’s some triple crown winner that’s got that position locked up. The Tigers will look for move him to the outfield, specifically left field. He hits for more average than he does for power, but can contribute in every category. In order to avoid early arbitration, the Tigers sent Castellanos back down to the minors, but is projected to be promoted somewhere around June. Keep him on your watchlist as he could be a great second half contributor.

i (9)Brian Wilson is just one season removed from being a must-own fantasy closer. If he hadn’t had the season-ending injury in 2012, he’d be right back up there with the other elite options. Right now he’s 80% recovered and will not try out for any teams until he’s completely healthy. He did have a lackluster tryout with the Mets, but that isn’t the end of the tryouts. The Tigers have reportedly reached out to Wilson, with interest in bringing him in later in the season. Rookie closer Bruce Rondon is on a short leash and Wilson’s health could put pressure on him. If Wilson is signed by the Tigers, he could start off as a setup man, but could be a key second half closer option to get in waivers.

 Posted by at 6:54 am